Friday, January 20 2012
Several recent indicators for the real estate industry are pointing to a market that is on the mend and entering recovery mode.
Housing experts’ predictions for the new year tend to center around a market stabilizing before entering a gradual, albeit very slow, recovery. However, the tone is more upbeat than it has been in years for the housing market.
Here are a few of the signs that are showing the market moving in a more positive direction:
Home sales: Existing home sales are expected to increase 12 percent this year, following a 2 percent jump last year, Moody’s Analytics predicts. The signs are already showing: In November, pending home sales — a gauge for future home buying — reached its highest level in 19 months, the National Association of REALTORS® reported. (Read more.)
New-home market: Coming off of what could be considered the worst year for new-home building ever recorded, the sector is expected to bounce back this year. New-home sales and starts were already showing a rebound in the last few months of 2011. Moody’s is predicting that single-family housing starts will increase 37 percent this year, and new-home sales will soar 74 percent.
Housing stocks: Investors are starting to get optimistic about the possibility of a rebound too, and are turning to home builder stocks. These equities have recently outperformed the broader stock market and the S&P 1500 homebuilding index has increased 38 percent since mid-October, USA Today reports.
Consumer confidence: With mortgage rates at record lows and housing affordability high, about 71 percent of Americans say now is a good time to purchase a home. Also, more Americans are optimistic that home prices will rise over the next year — about 26 percent say prices will rise in 2012, an increase of 4 percent over the last survey, according to Fannie Mae’s December National Housing Survey
Tuesday, November 22 2011
The square feet of new homes is expected to continue its decline in future years. The National Association of Home Builders predicts that U.S. houses will average 2,152 square feet in 2015, which will be down 10 percent compared to last year.
Smaller homes near restaurants and retail may be the most in demand as the housing market crawls out of its slump, housing experts say.
McMansions--which are at least 2,600 square feet--were popular during the years of the housing boom, but now are only desired by 18 percent of households today and is expected to drop more, according to a survey by Trulia.
"Baby boomers are trading down. They don't need the McMansion, and they don't want to drive as much," Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist, told Money Magazine.
Source: “A Smaller House Will Make a Big Difference,” Money Magazine (Nov. 14, 2011)
Friday, October 14 2011
Double the number of housing markets moved into the “improving” category this month compared to last month, according to the National Association of Home Builders/First American Improving Markets Index, which debuted last month.
Twenty-three housing markets qualified as “improving” compared to 12 last month. Metro areas are considered “improving” if they show an improvement in housing permits, employment, and housing prices for at least six months. Texas cities appear the most frequently on the list.
"Both the number and geographic diversity of improving housing markets expanded this month, with Iowa, Illinois, and South Carolina all newly represented by one entry or more on the list," Bob Nielsen, NAHB chairman, said in a statement. "This is further evidence that, despite the tough conditions that persist in many cities, pockets of improvement are emerging in local housing markets across the country."
The following are the 23 markets labeled “improving” in October, according to NAHB’s index:
By Melissa Dittmann Tracey, REALTOR® Magazine Daily News
Wednesday, July 27 2011
Housing data for June shows pending sales increased 16.4 percent statewide. The report from the Metropolitan Indianapolis Board of Realtors and the Indiana Association of Realtors also indicates the median sales price rose 1.4 percent. IAR Chief Executive Officer Karl Berron says "pending sales are a good measure of confidence."
INDIANAPOLIS – In the first half of 2011, decreased housing activity and stable prices defined the central Indiana market. Housing data released today for June 2011 provided a brighter picture for the future, including increased prices and an abundant number of pending sales. This is according to data in a jointly released report from the Metropolitan Indianapolis Board of REALTORS® (MIBOR) and the Indiana Association of REALTORS® (IAR).
In central Indiana, the average sales price of homes increased by 1.1 percent to $150,797 during the first six months of 2011 when compared to January-June 2010. Average sales price also rose in the three month comparison by 2.2 percent to $156,999 and by 2.9 percent in the one month comparison to $164,190. Median sales price during January through June 2011 experienced a drop of 1 percent to $120,788. April through June 2011 median sales prices held steady, while June-only numbers increased 4 percent to $129,999.
The number of closed sales in central Indiana decreased by 12.7 percent in the first half of 2011. Closed sales for June show a smaller, 6.3 percent decrease.
The surprise number comes in the form of pending sales, while down for the year, up 19 percent for the month of June. Pending sales reflect signed purchase agreements that have yet to close. The robust number bodes well for more closed sales in the coming months.
Statewide, when comparing June 2011 to June 2010:
The median sales price increased 1.4 percent to $119,900
Pending sales increased 16.4 percent
“During the last six months, the recovery of the housing market has been slow and steady – not dramatic or flashy,” said Dave Goff, 2011 MIBOR president. “This month, however, has painted an encouraging picture for the remainder of the year. Interest rates are down nationally and local pending sales have climbed drastically, providing a positive outlook.”
IAR CEO Karl Berron agreed. “Pending sales are a good measure of confidence. A full recovery lies with jobs, available financing for qualified buyers and less foreclosure inventory. It’s all part of the mix.”
Additional key central Indiana findings for January through June 2011:
New listings decreased by 15.2 percent during the six month comparison.
Months of supply increased to 9.8 months during the first half of 2011.
Total active listings fell by 1.6 percent
The attached data will tell consumers how the central Indiana housing market is performing according to eight different indicators. Each indicator will have one-, three-, six- and 12-month comparisons, as well as a historical look. Consumers will also have access to specific county information for the 13 counties included in MIBOR’s Broker Listing Cooperative® (BLC®): Boone, Brown, Decatur, Hamilton, Hancock, Hendricks, Johnson, Madison, Marion, Montgomery, Morgan, Putnam and Shelby counties.
IAR’s report, found online under the Reports tab of www.IndianaIsHome.com, will show consumers the state of Indiana’s housing market according to the same indicators with one-month and year-to-date comparisons, as well as a historical look. Consumers will also have access to specific county information for 91 of Indiana’s 92 counties in a sortable table format.
This information has been provided by MIBOR. MIBOR is the professional association representing central Indiana's REALTORS®. MIBOR serves the needs of more than 6,500 members in Boone, Brown, Hamilton, Hancock, Hendricks, Johnson, Marion, Montgomery, Morgan and Shelby counties. MIBOR also supplies the BLC® listing service to REALTORS® in Decatur, Madison and Putnam counties.
IAR represents approximately 16,000 REALTORS® who are involved in virtually all aspects related to the sale, purchase, exchange or lease of real property in Indiana. The term REALTOR® is a registered mark that identifies a real estate professional who is a member of the world’s largest trade association, the National Association of REALTORS®, and subscribes to its strict Code of Ethics.
Source: MIBOR & InsideINdianaBusiness.com Report http://www.insideindianabusiness.com/newsitem.asp?ID=48881